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Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

The market resolves based on whether the Federal Reserve implements a rate cut greater than 25 basis points this year.

KalshiKalshi$4K traded 24hEnds Jan 1, 2027

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hKalshiKalshi
In 20263%+1¢3.9¢

In 2026

3%

+1¢

Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

Discussion

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