
California Governor margin of victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in the California Governor election.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats, 30+ pts | 9% | — | 14¢ | |
| Democrats, 12+ pts | 71% | — | 76¢ | |
| Democrats, 15+ pts | 60% | — | 65¢ | |
| Democrats, 18+ pts | 47% | — | 52¢ | |
| Democrats, 21+ pts | 36% | — | 41¢ | |
| Democrats, 24+ pts | 25% | — | 30¢ | |
| Democrats, 27+ pts | 16% | — | 21¢ | |
| Democrats, 33+ pts | 6% | — | 9.9¢ | |
| Democrats, 36+ pts | 5% | — | 8¢ |
Democrats, 30+ pts
9%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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