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Politics

6,637 events

KalshiPolymarketOn both venues
MarketChance24hBest priceVolume 24h
Fed Decision in September?25 bps increasePoliticsEnds Sep 15, 2026>99%——$4.1M
Fed Decision in October?No changePoliticsEnds Oct 28, 202653%−7¢Polymarket53¢$811.8K
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?United Russia (ER)PoliticsEnds Sep 29, 202674%−4¢Polymarket74¢$386.2K
Which party will win the U.S. House?Democratic PartyPoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202787%+1¢Kalshi87¢$240.6K
Will the SAVE Act become law?PoliticsEnds Jan 4, 20274%−1¢Kalshi3.8¢$203.6K
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Sep 17, 202652%+10¢Kalshi53¢$190.9K
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?J.D. VancePoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202923%0¢Kalshi23¢$189.1K
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?D-House, D-SenatePoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202756%+5¢Kalshi57¢$149.5K
Will the Clarity Act become law?Before Jan 1, 2027PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 20264%−5¢Kalshi4.2¢$123.1K
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 2026<1%0¢Polymarket0.5¢$122.5K
2028 Democratic presidential nomineeJon OssoffPoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202817%0¢Kalshi17¢$119.8K
Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio BolsonaroPoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202654%+2¢Polymarket54.3¢$107.6K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202617%0¢Polymarket17¢$91.2K
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerUnited Russia (ER)PoliticsEnds Sep 29, 202699%0¢Polymarket99.4¢$86.4K
Fed rate hike in 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 8, 2026>99%——$84.8K
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20277%−2¢Kalshi7.4¢$84.4K
Texas Senate winner?James TalaricoPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202753%−1¢Kalshi53¢$83.4K
Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place?SDPPoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202735%—Kalshi36¢$82.6K
Which party will win the House in 2026?Democratic PartyPoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202689%+1¢Polymarket89¢$79.8K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)PoliticsEnds Sep 4, 2026>99%——$75.7K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202691%−1¢Polymarket91¢$74.4K
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?Democratic PartyPoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202756%+1¢Kalshi56¢$62.9K
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?JD VancePoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202612%+2¢Polymarket12.5¢$58.8K
PA-12 House winner?Summer LeePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202797%+3¢Kalshi98.8¢$52.9K
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna KellyPoliticsEnds Jan 21, 202922%+8¢Kalshi22¢$52.7K
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20265%+1¢Polymarket4.9¢$51.2K
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Jul 21, 20261%−1¢Kalshi1¢$49.6K
2028 Republican presidential nomineeJ.D. VancePoliticsEnds Nov 7, 202846%0¢Kalshi46¢$47.9K
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20265%0¢Kalshi4.9¢$47.7K
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi EizenkotPoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202651%0¢Polymarket52.1¢$47.1K
Fed Decision in December?25 bps increasePoliticsEnds Dec 9, 202671%+9¢Polymarket71¢$45.7K
US recession by end of 2026?PoliticsEnds Jan 30, 202712%−2¢Polymarket12¢$44.1K
New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas)Chris Pappas, ≥25%PoliticsEnds Sep 8, 202799%——$44K
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 20264%0¢Polymarket3.9¢$43.9K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 20265%−1¢Polymarket4.7¢$43.1K
Alaska Senate winner?Democratic partyPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202767%+1¢Kalshi67¢$41.7K
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 18, 2026?James TalaricoPoliticsEnds Sep 18, 202690%+9¢Kalshi91¢$39.8K
Next Prime Minister of SwedenMagdalena AnderssonPoliticsEnds Sep 12, 202693%+5¢Polymarket93¢$39.5K
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?4PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202677%+1¢Polymarket78.2¢$38.5K
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?December 31, 2026PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202620%−13¢Polymarket20¢$38.3K
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Mohammad Bagher GhalibafPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202619%−1¢Polymarket19¢$34.5K
California Governor winner?Xavier BecerraPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202796%—Kalshi96.9¢$33.6K
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceFlávio BolsonaroPoliticsEnds Oct 3, 202677%0¢Polymarket78¢$33.2K
Berlin State Election WinnerLinkePoliticsEnds Sep 19, 202668%+3¢Polymarket69¢$33K
Los Angeles Mayor winner?Karen BassPoliticsEnds Jun 2, 202763%0¢Kalshi63¢$32.1K
What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?TrumpPoliticsEnds Sep 16, 20264%+1¢Polymarket8.7¢$31.1K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?October 31PoliticsEnds Sep 21, 202637%+2¢Polymarket38¢$31.1K
Florida Governor winner?Byron DonaldsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202781%0¢Kalshi81¢$29.9K
Michigan Senate winner?Abdul El-SayedPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202764%+2¢Kalshi64¢$29.5K
Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le PenPoliticsEnds Apr 29, 202736%—Polymarket36.1¢$29.1K
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