Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
The market resolves based on when the Bab el-Mandeb Strait is effectively closed.
Polymarket$46.4K traded 24hEnds Sep 15, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30 | 5% | 0¢ | 5.1¢ | |
| October 31 | 14% | +4¢ | 15¢ | |
| December 31 | 22% | +1¢ | 22¢ | |
| September 15 | <1% | +1¢ | 0.6¢ |
September 30
5%
0¢Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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