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Topic
shipping
38 markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, $169.5K traded today.
trade
geopolitics
politics
strait of hormuz
international relations
economics
logistics
bab el-mandeb strait
container volume
maritime
conflict
houthis
Market
Chance
24h
Last 24h
Best price
Volume 24h
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
September 30
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 15, 2026
5%
0¢
5.2¢
$46.9K
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
Politics
·
Ends Jul 21, 2026
1%
−1¢
1¢
$40.5K
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 50
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 22, 2026
3%
−5¢
3¢
$20.7K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Politics
·
Ends Dec 30, 2026
18%
0¢
18¢
$15.5K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Politics
·
Ends Sep 14, 2026
<1%
0¢
0.1¢
$15.3K
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 25
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 22, 2026
2%
−2¢
2¢
$8.9K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Politics
·
Ends Sep 29, 2026
1%
0¢
1.4¢
$8.6K
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 225
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 22, 2026
6%
−2¢
6¢
$2K
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 175
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 22, 2026
53%
—
53¢
$1.8K
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 31
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
28%
0¢
30¢
$1.6K
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?
20-24
·
Other
·
Ends Sep 20, 2026
28%
—
29¢
$1.5K
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
<25
·
Other
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
70%
+2¢
70.6¢
$1.2K
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?
<170
·
Other
·
Ends Sep 20, 2026
43%
—
44¢
$1.1K
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?
0-5
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
54%
—
55¢
$805
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Politics
·
Ends Nov 30, 2026
12%
—
13¢
$726
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?
September 30
·
Other
·
Ends Sep 15, 2026
4%
—
3.9¢
$718
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Politics
·
Ends Oct 30, 2026
8%
—
8¢
$402
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
September 13
·
Other
·
Ends Sep 11, 2026
2%
—
3¢
$343
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
October 31
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 29, 2026
27%
—
29¢
$202
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)
At least 10
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 9, 2026
33%
—
49¢
$173
Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
Above 8.7 million TEUs
·
Economics
·
Ends Feb 28, 2027
72%
—
72¢
$144
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
·
Politics
·
Ends Aug 31, 2026
84%
—
84¢
$122
Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026
Above 3.35 million TEUs
·
Economics
·
Ends Jan 31, 2027
26%
—
26¢
$109
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
10+
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
50%
—
60¢
$63
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/14 - 9/20)
September 19
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 22, 2026
23%
—
25¢
$39
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
Above 90
·
Politics
·
Ends Jan 5, 2027
6%
—
9¢
$33
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?
December 31
·
Other
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
21%
—
24¢
$22
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 280
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 22, 2026
66%
—
66¢
$5
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
6%
—
6.7¢
$4
Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 2026
3,500 to 3,999.99
·
Economics
·
Ends Dec 25, 2026
32%
—
36¢
—
How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?
Above 1,500
·
Economics
·
Ends Dec 25, 2026
90%
—
94¢
—
Port of Mobile container volume in 2026
Above 425,000 TEUs
·
Economics
·
Ends Jan 29, 2027
97%
—
97¢
—
South Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
Above 2.2 million TEUs
·
Economics
·
Ends Jan 31, 2027
98%
—
98¢
—
Port of Savannah container volume in 2026
Above 5.4 million TEUs
·
Economics
·
Ends Jan 29, 2027
95%
—
95¢
—
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
11%
—
13¢
—
Will the Jones Act be repealed?
Politics
·
Ends Jan 4, 2027
10%
—
11¢
—
Will Port of Baltimore container volume rise YoY?
Economics
·
Ends Jan 31, 2027
82%
—
82¢
—
Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
4%
—
6.4¢
—
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