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MarketChance24hBest priceVolume 24h
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 20265%Polymarket5.2¢$46.9K
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Jul 21, 20261%−1¢Kalshi$40.5K
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)Above 50PoliticsEnds Sep 22, 20263%−5¢Kalshi$20.7K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202618%Polymarket18¢$15.5K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?PoliticsEnds Sep 14, 2026<1%Polymarket0.1¢$15.3K
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)Above 25PoliticsEnds Sep 22, 20262%−2¢Kalshi$8.9K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsEnds Sep 29, 20261%Polymarket1.4¢$8.6K
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)Above 225PoliticsEnds Sep 22, 20266%−2¢Kalshi$2K
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20)Above 175PoliticsEnds Sep 22, 202653%Kalshi53¢$1.8K
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202628%Polymarket30¢$1.6K
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?20-24OtherEnds Sep 20, 202628%Polymarket29¢$1.5K
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?<25OtherEnds Sep 30, 202670%+2¢Polymarket70.6¢$1.2K
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?<170OtherEnds Sep 20, 202643%Polymarket44¢$1.1K
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?0-5PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202654%Polymarket55¢$805
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?PoliticsEnds Nov 30, 202612%Polymarket13¢$726
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?September 30OtherEnds Sep 15, 20264%Polymarket3.9¢$718
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?PoliticsEnds Oct 30, 20268%Polymarket$402
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?September 13OtherEnds Sep 11, 20262%Polymarket$343
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?October 31PoliticsEnds Sep 29, 202627%Polymarket29¢$202
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)At least 10PoliticsEnds Sep 9, 202633%Kalshi49¢$173
Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026Above 8.7 million TEUsEconomicsEnds Feb 28, 202772%Kalshi72¢$144
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 202684%Polymarket84¢$122
Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026Above 3.35 million TEUsEconomicsEnds Jan 31, 202726%Kalshi26¢$109
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?10+PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202650%Polymarket60¢$63
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/14 - 9/20)September 19PoliticsEnds Sep 22, 202623%Kalshi25¢$39
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?Above 90PoliticsEnds Jan 5, 20276%Kalshi$33
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?December 31OtherEnds Sep 30, 202621%Polymarket24¢$22
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)Above 280PoliticsEnds Sep 22, 202666%Kalshi66¢$5
US charges Hormuz fees by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20266%Polymarket6.7¢$4
Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 20263,500 to 3,999.99EconomicsEnds Dec 25, 202632%Kalshi36¢
How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?Above 1,500EconomicsEnds Dec 25, 202690%Kalshi94¢
Port of Mobile container volume in 2026Above 425,000 TEUsEconomicsEnds Jan 29, 202797%Kalshi97¢
South Carolina ports total container volume in 2026Above 2.2 million TEUsEconomicsEnds Jan 31, 202798%Kalshi98¢
Port of Savannah container volume in 2026Above 5.4 million TEUsEconomicsEnds Jan 29, 202795%Kalshi95¢
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202611%Polymarket13¢
Will the Jones Act be repealed?PoliticsEnds Jan 4, 202710%Kalshi11¢
Will Port of Baltimore container volume rise YoY?EconomicsEnds Jan 31, 202782%Kalshi82¢
Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20264%Polymarket6.4¢