Skip to content

Topic

international relations

40+ markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, $800.2K traded today.

MarketChance24hBest priceVolume 24h
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)PoliticsEnds Sep 4, 2026>99%——$93.2K
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20277%−2¢Kalshi7.4¢$84.4K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202692%0¢Polymarket92¢$81.7K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202617%0¢Polymarket17¢$79.8K
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?JD VancePoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202612%+2¢Polymarket12.2¢$59K
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 20264%0¢Polymarket3.9¢$45.7K
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Jul 21, 20261%−1¢Kalshi1¢$40.5K
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?4PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202678%+1¢Polymarket79¢$38.4K
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Mohammad Bagher GhalibafPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202619%0¢Polymarket19¢$34.4K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?October 31PoliticsEnds Sep 21, 202637%+2¢Polymarket38¢$27.5K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20267%0¢Polymarket7¢$24.9K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 202618%0¢Polymarket18¢$15.5K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?PoliticsEnds Sep 14, 2026<1%0¢Polymarket0.1¢$15.3K
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202614%0¢Polymarket15¢$14.3K
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?Before 2027PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20274%−1¢Kalshi3.9¢$14.1K
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?September 15PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 2026<1%0¢Polymarket0.1¢$12.5K
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?March 31, 2027PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202660%+2¢Polymarket60¢$11.2K
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?PoliticsEnds Jan 20, 202935%+10¢Kalshi36¢$11.2K
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 21, 202618%−9¢Polymarket18¢$8.8K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsEnds Sep 29, 20261%0¢Polymarket1.4¢$8.6K
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?KramatorskPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202621%−8¢Polymarket21¢$8.5K
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?Event does not qualifyCultureEnds Oct 7, 20267%+1¢Kalshi7¢$7.4K
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?No Meeting by September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202693%+1¢Polymarket93.7¢$6.7K
Iran full airspace closure by...?September 30OtherEnds Sep 30, 20266%−1¢Polymarket6¢$6.4K
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?October 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202651%+3¢Polymarket52¢$6.3K
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202622%−74¢Polymarket22¢$5.6K
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?September 24PoliticsEnds Sep 23, 202689%−1¢Polymarket90¢$5K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?October 31PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 20268%−1¢Polymarket8¢$4.2K
US-Iran nuclear deal?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 20261%−1¢Kalshi1¢$3.1K
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?September 30OtherEnds Sep 30, 202625%−1¢Polymarket25¢$2.8K
Iran leadership change by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202614%0¢Polymarket15¢$2.8K
When will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados?Before Dec 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Dec 1, 202622%−52¢Kalshi26¢$2.8K
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?ChinaPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202652%−5¢Polymarket52¢$2.5K
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 20268%0¢Polymarket8¢$2.3K
NATO x Russia military clash by...?October 31PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 202612%−1¢Polymarket12¢$2.3K
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?Vladimir PutinPoliticsEnds Jul 19, 202659%+3¢Kalshi60¢$2.2K
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?CultureEnds Oct 31, 202621%−4¢Polymarket21¢$2.2K
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Oct 1, 202696%0¢Kalshi96¢$2K
Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?Before Nov 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 1, 202690%+11¢Kalshi92¢$2K
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20262%0¢Polymarket2.7¢$1.8K