US-Iran nuclear deal?
The market resolves based on when a nuclear deal between the United States and Iran is reached.
Kalshi$4.5K traded 24hEnds Aug 1, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1% | −1¢ | 1¢ | |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 5% | 0¢ | 6¢ | |
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 32% | — | 32¢ | |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 3% | — | 3¢ | |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 8% | — | 8¢ | |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 10% | — | 10¢ | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 22% | — | 23¢ | |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 9% | — | 9¢ | |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | — | — | — | |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
Before Oct 1, 2026
1%
−1¢Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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