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Topic
middle east
40+ markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, $165.5K traded today.
international relations
politics
iran
israel
geopolitics
conflict
diplomacy
lebanon
saudi arabia
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Market
Chance
24h
Last 24h
Best price
Volume 24h
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4
·
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
78%
+1¢
78.6¢
$38.4K
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
September 30
·
Other
·
Ends Sep 22, 2026
66%
+24¢
67¢
$34.1K
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 15
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 15, 2026
<1%
0¢
0.1¢
$25.5K
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
1%
0¢
0.8¢
$19.2K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Politics
·
Ends Sep 14, 2026
<1%
0¢
0.1¢
$15.3K
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
Politics
·
Ends Jan 20, 2029
38%
+8¢
40¢
$11.1K
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 30
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 21, 2026
17%
−9¢
18¢
$10.1K
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Kuwait
·
Politics
In play
8%
−3¢
8¢
$1.9K
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
September 15
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 15, 2026
7%
—
10¢
$1.4K
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
September 15
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 15, 2026
3%
+1¢
3¢
$1.1K
Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?
September 30
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 20, 2026
7%
—
6.7¢
$896
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
September 16
·
Other
·
Ends Sep 16, 2026
94%
—
95¢
$800
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
20%
—
20¢
$637
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
September 30
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
2%
—
2.3¢
$570
Will Iran target Jordan by...?
September 30
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
52%
—
61¢
$454
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Other
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
13%
—
13¢
$368
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?
September 30
·
Other
·
Ends Sep 15, 2026
4%
—
4¢
$329
Will Iran target Qatar by...?
September 30
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 15, 2026
9%
—
10¢
$327
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
Egypt
·
Other
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
9%
—
10¢
$317
Will Iran target Oman by...?
September 30
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 15, 2026
3%
—
4.2¢
$300
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Saudi Arabia
·
Politics
·
Ends Aug 17, 2026
6%
—
7.9¢
$271
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
September 15
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 15, 2026
3%
—
5.8¢
$246
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
4%
—
4.8¢
$238
Will Iran target Syria by...?
September 15
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 15, 2026
<1%
—
0.4¢
$205
Will Iran target Iraq by...?
September 15
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 15, 2026
8%
—
15¢
$158
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
September 30
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
2%
—
2.2¢
$148
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
8%
—
10¢
$133
Israel military action against Beirut by...?
October 31
·
Other
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
16%
—
18¢
$127
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
Politics
·
Ends Oct 31, 2026
5%
—
6.9¢
$104
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 31
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
7%
—
7¢
$98
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?
September 15
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 15, 2026
5%
—
10.2¢
$95
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?
December 31, 2026
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
23%
—
24¢
$91
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?
October 31
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
19%
—
28¢
$88
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
8%
—
9¢
$83
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?
September 15
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 15, 2026
5%
—
9.5¢
$71
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Other
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
6%
—
5.8¢
$58
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
1%
—
1.6¢
$20
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
9%
—
10¢
$13
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
24%
—
24¢
$7
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
11%
—
12¢
$5
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