Skip to content

Strategies

Rules to buy one side of markets priced in a band some days before they close, with what $100 spread across every such settled market came back as, how sure that is, and the markets that fit the rule right now. Before fees, and history is not a forecast.

36 rules with 100+ settled markets and an edge that held, ranked by the return their cautious end still promises.

Returns are before fees and use each band's average midpoint, not the price you would have been shown. Bands under 10¢ and over 90¢ are left out, since that far out the ask sits too far above the midpoint for the return to be reachable. History, not a forecast.