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conflict

40+ markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, $310.1K traded today.

MarketChance24hBest priceVolume 24h
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)PoliticsEnds Sep 4, 2026>99%——$93.2K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202692%0¢Polymarket92¢$82K
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsEnds Dec 30, 20264%0¢Polymarket3.9¢$45.7K
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?4PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202678%+1¢Polymarket78.7¢$38.4K
Houthis enter Aden by...?September 30OtherEnds Sep 30, 202614%+1¢Polymarket15¢$9.6K
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?KramatorskPoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202621%−8¢Polymarket21¢$8.5K
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?October 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202649%+3¢Polymarket50¢$6.3K
Israel military action against Yemen by...?September 30OtherEnds Sep 30, 20264%−3¢Polymarket4.2¢$5.6K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?October 31PoliticsEnds Oct 31, 20268%−1¢Polymarket8¢$4.2K
NATO downs another Russian drone by...?September 15OtherEnds Sep 15, 202694%+29¢Polymarket96¢$1.6K
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202712%0¢Polymarket12¢$1.5K
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?September 15PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 20267%—Polymarket10¢$1.4K
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202614%−15¢Polymarket17¢$1.3K
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)September 18PoliticsEnds Sep 18, 20262%−2¢Polymarket3.2¢$1.3K
Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 20, 20267%—Polymarket6.7¢$896
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?October 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20267%—Polymarket8¢$828
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?December 31OtherEnds Sep 30, 20266%—Polymarket6¢$820
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?September 30OtherEnds Sep 15, 20264%—Polymarket3.9¢$718
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20268%—Polymarket8¢$715
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202620%—Polymarket20¢$666
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202659%—Polymarket59¢$659
Israel military action against Syria by...?PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202631%—Polymarket49¢$532
Will Russia enter Moskovka by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 29, 202619%—Polymarket19¢$523
Will Russia capture Prymorske by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20264%—Polymarket5.3¢$522
US x Russia military clash by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20264%—Polymarket4.8¢$432
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?September 13OtherEnds Sep 11, 20262%—Polymarket3¢$343
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka again by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202638%—Polymarket47¢$200
Will Iran target Syria by...?September 15PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 2026<1%—Polymarket0.4¢$197
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?October 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202630%—Polymarket30¢$185
Will Iran target Iraq by...?September 15PoliticsEnds Sep 15, 20268%—Polymarket15.3¢$158
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 202610%—Polymarket12¢$150
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20262%—Polymarket2.2¢$148
Israel military action against Beirut by...?October 31OtherEnds Sep 30, 202616%—Polymarket18¢$127
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsEnds Jun 30, 20278%—Polymarket9¢$98
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 31PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20267%—Polymarket7¢$98
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?December 31, 2026PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 202623%—Polymarket24¢$91
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 20264%—Polymarket4.4¢$82
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by...?OtherEnds Sep 29, 20267%—Polymarket7¢$69
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20264%—Polymarket4.5¢$48
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202651%—Polymarket52¢$28