Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?
The market resolves based on whether Russia captures the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by the specified date.
Polymarket$236 traded 24hEnds Sep 30, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 29% | — | 30¢ | |
| December 31 | 71% | — | 72¢ | |
| September 30 | 7% | — | 8¢ |
October 31
29%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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