US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
The market resolves based on whether an effective ceasefire between the US and Iran begins by a specified date.
Polymarket$93.2K traded 24hEnds Sep 4, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 4 | >99% | — | — |
September 4
>99%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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