Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
The market resolves based on whether Russia captures Mala Tokmachka by the specified date.
Polymarket$649 traded 24hEnds Sep 30, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 60% | — | 61¢ | |
| September 30 | 7% | — | 7¢ |
December 31
60%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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