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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

The market resolves based on whether China invades Taiwan by the end of 2026.

PolymarketPolymarket$45.7K traded 24hEnds Dec 30, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?4%3.9¢

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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