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PolymarketPolymarket· Politics · World · Geopolitics · Foreign Policy

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

3.9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

96.2¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 60 minutes agoSold No at 96.1¢$189
  • 60 minutes agoBought No at 96.2¢$189
  • 1 hour agoSold No at 96.1¢$49
  • 2 hours agoSold Yes at 3.8¢$32
  • 2 hours agoBought Yes at 3.9¢$5
  • 2 hours agoSold No at 96.1¢$49
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 96.2¢$49
  • 2 hours agoSold No at 96.1¢$94
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 96.2¢$94
  • 2 hours agoSold No at 96.1¢$49