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Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

The market resolves based on the date an effective ceasefire begins between Israel and Lebanon.

PolymarketPolymarket$1K traded 24hEnds Sep 18, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
September 182%−1¢3.2¢
September 308%

September 18

2%

−1¢

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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