Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
The specific date of Israel's military action against Lebanon.
Polymarket$788 traded 24hEnds Sep 16, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 16 | 94% | — | 96¢ | |
| September 17 | 91% | — | 92¢ | |
| September 21 | 86% | — | 91¢ | |
| September 20 | 85% | — | 87¢ | |
| September 22 | 86% | — | 93¢ | |
| September 29 | 73% | — | 92¢ | |
| September 18 | 89% | — | 89¢ | |
| September 19 | 84% | — | 86¢ | |
| September 26 | 80% | — | 89¢ | |
| September 30 | 78% | — | 88¢ | |
| September 23 | 77% | — | 91¢ | |
| September 28 | 76% | — | 84¢ | |
| September 25 | 76% | — | 95¢ | |
| September 24 | 75% | — | 91¢ | |
| September 27 | 75% | — | 90¢ |
September 16
94%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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