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Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?September 30OtherEnds Sep 22, 202666%+24¢Polymarket67¢$33.4K
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?OtherEnds Nov 2, 202632%+3¢Polymarket32¢$18K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?OtherEnds Dec 31, 20266%−3¢Polymarket6¢$11.9K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?OtherEnds Dec 31, 20269%+1¢Polymarket9¢$11.8K
Houthis enter Aden by...?September 30OtherEnds Sep 30, 202614%+1¢Polymarket15¢$9.6K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?September 30OtherEnds Sep 30, 20261%0¢Polymarket1.3¢$9K
Iran full airspace closure by...?September 30OtherEnds Sep 30, 20266%−1¢Polymarket6¢$6.4K
Israel military action against Yemen by...?September 30OtherEnds Sep 30, 20264%−3¢Polymarket4.2¢$5.6K
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?September 30OtherEnds Sep 30, 202625%−1¢Polymarket25¢$2.8K
Moscow air traffic suspended by...?OtherEnds Sep 15, 202639%+30¢Polymarket40.9¢$2.7K
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?December 31OtherEnds Sep 30, 202627%—Polymarket27¢$1.9K
NATO downs another Russian drone by...?September 15OtherEnds Sep 15, 202694%+29¢Polymarket96¢$1.6K
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?20-24OtherEnds Sep 20, 202628%—Polymarket29¢$1.5K
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?September 16OtherEnds Sep 7, 202699%—Polymarket99.9¢$1.3K
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?<25OtherEnds Sep 30, 202670%+2¢Polymarket70.6¢$1.2K
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?<170OtherEnds Sep 20, 202643%—Polymarket44¢$1.1K
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?December 31OtherEnds Sep 30, 20266%—Polymarket6¢$820
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?September 16OtherEnds Sep 16, 202694%—Polymarket96¢$788
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?September 30OtherEnds Sep 15, 20264%—Polymarket3.9¢$718
UK election called by...?December 31, 2026OtherEnds Dec 31, 202612%—Polymarket13¢$692
Houthi military action against Israel by...?OtherEnds Sep 30, 20264%—Polymarket4¢$513
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?September 30OtherEnds Sep 30, 202630%—Polymarket42¢$374
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?OtherEnds Dec 31, 202613%—Polymarket13¢$368
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?September 13OtherEnds Sep 11, 20262%—Polymarket3¢$343
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?EgyptOtherEnds Dec 31, 20269%—Polymarket10¢$317
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Iran Reconstruction FundingOtherEnds Dec 31, 202614%—Polymarket14¢$249
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?2OtherEnds Dec 31, 202786%—Polymarket86¢$245
What price will Uniswap hit in 2026?↑ 11.00OtherEnds Jan 1, 202728%—Polymarket40¢$236
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?↓ $4,500OtherEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket5.9¢$172
Alaska Governor Election WinnerJonathan Kreiss-TomkinsOtherEnds Nov 2, 202666%—Polymarket66¢$163
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?>$8,000OtherEnds Dec 31, 202635%—Polymarket41¢$134
Israel military action against Beirut by...?October 31OtherEnds Sep 30, 202616%—Polymarket18¢$127
Annual Return: Gold vs. SilverGoldOtherEnds Dec 31, 202676%—Kalshi79¢$118
SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?OtherEnds Aug 1, 202787%—Polymarket90¢$96
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by...?OtherEnds Sep 29, 20267%—Polymarket7¢$69
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?OtherEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket5.8¢$58
Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?OtherEnds Dec 31, 202620%—Polymarket20¢$50
Will Ukraine target Moscow by...?September 15OtherEnds Sep 11, 20263%—Polymarket4.7¢$46
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?December 31OtherEnds Sep 30, 202621%—Polymarket24¢$22
Will gas hit __ by end of September?↑ $4.40OtherEnds Sep 30, 202672%—Polymarket92¢$18
Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by...?OtherEnds Sep 30, 202638%—Polymarket49¢$12
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 17?OtherStarts Wed, Sep 16, 5:00 PM ET70%—Polymarket85¢$10
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?USOtherEnds Dec 31, 202625%—Polymarket26¢$10
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?OtherEnds Dec 31, 202619%—Polymarket35.9¢$7
BNB Up or Down on September 17?OtherEnds Sep 17, 202657%—Polymarket63¢$4
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?December 31OtherEnds Oct 31, 202628%—Polymarket32¢$2
Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?James HoOtherEnds Jan 19, 202919%—Polymarket19¢$1
European military action against Iran by...?December 31OtherEnds Oct 31, 20268%—Polymarket9¢$0
Kraków Mayoral Election WinnerŁukasz GibałaOtherEnds Sep 27, 202677%—Polymarket77¢—
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?David ChoquehuancaOtherEnds Feb 27, 202674%—Polymarket74¢—
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