0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?
This market resolves based on whether zero ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any single date by the specified deadline.
Polymarket$22 traded 24hEnds Sep 30, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 21% | — | 24¢ | |
| September 30 | 4% | — | 5.9¢ |
December 31
21%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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