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trade
40+ markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, $104.4K traded today.
politics
economics
international relations
united states
shipping
tariffs
canada
donald trump
geopolitics
strait of hormuz
us politics
trade deficit
Market
Chance
24h
Last 24h
Best price
Volume 24h
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
Politics
·
Ends Jul 21, 2026
1%
−1¢
1¢
$40.5K
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 50
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 22, 2026
3%
−5¢
3¢
$20.7K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Politics
·
Ends Dec 30, 2026
18%
0¢
18¢
$15.5K
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 25
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 22, 2026
2%
−2¢
2¢
$8.9K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Politics
·
Ends Sep 29, 2026
1%
0¢
1.4¢
$8.6K
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 225
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 22, 2026
6%
−2¢
6¢
$2K
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 175
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 22, 2026
53%
—
53¢
$1.8K
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 31
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
28%
0¢
30¢
$1.6K
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
<25
·
Other
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
70%
+2¢
70.6¢
$1.2K
Will the US ban crude oil exports?
Before 2027
·
Politics
·
Ends Jul 31, 2026
22%
—
33¢
$791
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Politics
·
Ends Nov 30, 2026
12%
—
13¢
$726
Jalen Duren's Next Team
Detroit
·
Sports
·
Ends Oct 20, 2026
85%
—
86¢
$726
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
October 31
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 29, 2026
27%
—
29¢
$202
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)
At least 10
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 9, 2026
33%
—
49¢
$173
Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
Above 8.7 million TEUs
·
Economics
·
Ends Feb 28, 2027
72%
—
72¢
$144
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
·
Politics
·
Ends Aug 31, 2026
84%
—
84¢
$122
Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026
Above 3.35 million TEUs
·
Economics
·
Ends Jan 31, 2027
26%
—
26¢
$109
When will Canada raise tariffs on the US?
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
75%
—
77¢
$97
When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
Politics
·
Ends Aug 31, 2026
56%
—
59¢
$92
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
September 30
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
21%
—
21¢
$79
Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
Politics
·
Ends Jan 1, 2027
15%
—
17¢
$68
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
Politics
·
Ends Jul 31, 2026
16%
—
17¢
$38
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?
October 31
·
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
28%
—
45¢
$34
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
Politics
·
Ends Jan 20, 2029
35%
—
37¢
$27
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
89%
—
89.9¢
$24
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
12%
—
12¢
$22
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?
December 31
·
Other
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
21%
—
24¢
$22
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
Above 8%
·
Economics
·
Ends Oct 29, 2026
94%
—
97¢
$11
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
800–900B
·
Politics
·
Ends Feb 27, 2027
34%
—
43¢
$9
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
24%
—
24¢
$7
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Taiwan
·
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
15%
—
20.3¢
$6
US imports of goods from China in 2026
Below $260 billion
·
Economics
·
Ends Feb 4, 2027
47%
—
51¢
$2
When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
9%
—
10¢
$1
When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions?
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
14%
—
16¢
$0
Will Trump embargo a new country?
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
Politics
·
Ends Jul 31, 2026
11%
—
14¢
$0
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?
Taiwan
·
Politics
·
Ends Jan 1, 2027
8%
—
11¢
$0
Cameron Johnson Next Team
Denver
·
Sports
·
Ends Oct 20, 2026
90%
—
91¢
—
Trae Young's Next Team
Washington
·
Sports
·
Ends Oct 20, 2026
96%
—
—
—
Bennedict Mathurin Next Team
New Orleans
·
Sports
·
Ends Oct 20, 2026
96%
—
—
—
US trade deficit for 2026?
Above 170 billion
·
Economics
·
Ends Feb 28, 2027
88%
—
91¢
—
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