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Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

The market resolves based on the month when shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal.

PolymarketPolymarket$118 traded 24hEnds Aug 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
No Return to Normal Traffic in 202684%84¢
December8%
October7%6.9¢
November3%3.7¢
September<1%0.6¢
August<1%0.1¢

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

84%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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