When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?

The market is decided by the date when the United States and China reach an agreement regarding tariffs.

Kalshi$92 traded 24hEnds Aug 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
Before Oct 1, 2026	56%	—	59¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	63%	—	67¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	59%	—	63¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	57%	—	61¢
Before Sep 1, 2026	—	—	—

56%

—

Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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