US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026

The market resolves based on the effective tariff rate for the United States in Q3 2026.

Kalshi$11 traded 24hEnds Oct 29, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
Above 8%	93%	—	96¢
Above 7%	96%	—	99¢
Above 3%	93%	—	—
Above 4%	93%	—	—
Above 5%	93%	—	—
Above 6%	93%	—	—
Above 9%	31%	—	35¢
Above 10%	11%	—	15¢
Above 13%	9%	—	9¢
Above 11%	9%	—	13¢
Above 12%	6%	—	9¢

93%

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Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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