Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)

The market resolves based on the traffic through the Strait of Hormuz between September 14 and September 20.

Kalshi$20.7K traded 24hEnds Sep 22, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
Above 50	3%	−6¢	3¢
Above 40	5%	−10¢	6¢
Above 30	11%	−38¢	11¢
Above 35	6%	−21¢	6¢
Above 45	4%	−7¢	4¢
Above 75	2%	−2¢	2¢
Above 25	44%	−36¢	47¢
Above 20	70%	−19¢	73¢
Above 10	97%	0¢	97¢
Above 15	92%	—	94¢
Above 100	2%	—	2¢

−6¢

Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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