Kalshi· Politics

Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 20.

Chance

69%

Buy Yes

71¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

33¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

1 hour agoSold yes at 70¢$1
2 hours agoBought no at 35¢$15
2 hours agoBought no at 33¢$1
2 hours agoBought no at 32¢$7
2 hours agoBought no at 34¢$15
2 hours agoSold yes at 75¢$9
2 hours agoSold yes at 74¢$23
2 hours agoSold yes at 75¢$8
3 hours agoSold yes at 73¢$1
3 hours agoSold yes at 73¢$8

How this market is decidedShow

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.