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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will there be more than 45 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 45.

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

4¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 4¢$0
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 4¢$9
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 4¢$38
  • 13 hours agoBought no at 95¢$161
  • 14 hours agoBought no at 95¢$29
  • 14 hours agoBought no at 95¢$446
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 95¢$504
  • yesterdayBought no at 90¢$422
  • yesterdayBought no at 90¢$90
  • yesterdayBought no at 90¢$99
How this market is decidedShow

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 45 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.