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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 40.

Chance

5%

Buy Yes

6¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

96¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 4 hours agoBought no at 96¢$47
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 95¢$3
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 95¢$950
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 95¢$48
  • 6 hours agoSold yes at 6¢$2
  • 12 hours agoSold yes at 6¢$2
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 8¢$0
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 8¢$10
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 92¢$469
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 92¢$184
How this market is decidedShow

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.