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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 25.

Chance

29%

Buy Yes

34¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

77¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 57 minutes agoBought no at 73¢$183
  • 57 minutes agoBought no at 73¢$108
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 73¢$183
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 70¢$27
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 71¢$286
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 68¢$5
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 69¢$48
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 71¢$37
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 66¢$28
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 63¢$18
How this market is decidedShow

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.