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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 15.

Chance

91%

Buy Yes

94¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

11¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 10 minutes agoBought no at 11¢$34
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 10¢$11
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 94¢$31
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 94¢$239
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 94¢$1,898
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 7¢$2
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 94¢$19
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 94¢$28
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 6¢$3
  • 16 hours agoSold yes at 95¢$6
How this market is decidedShow

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.