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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will there be more than 75 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 75.

Chance

2%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 22 hours agoBought no at 98¢$196
  • 22 hours agoBought no at 98¢$73
  • 22 hours agoBought no at 98¢$25
  • 23 hours agoBought no at 98¢$49
  • 23 hours agoBought no at 98¢$49
  • yesterdayBought no at 97¢$194
  • yesterdayBought no at 97¢$770
  • yesterdayBought no at 97¢$200
  • yesterdayBought no at 97¢$200
How this market is decidedShow

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 75 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.