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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will there be more than 10 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 10.

Chance

97%

Buy Yes

97¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

4¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 13 minutes agoBought no at 4¢$13
  • 24 minutes agoBought no at 4¢$42
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 4¢$8
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 4¢$2
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 97¢$314
  • 17 hours agoSold yes at 97¢$43
  • 17 hours agoBought no at 4¢$17
  • 18 hours agoSold yes at 97¢$1
  • 20 hours agoBought no at 4¢$24
  • 20 hours agoBought no at 4¢$2
How this market is decidedShow

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.