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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 35.

Chance

6%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

95¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 7 hours agoBought no at 91¢$182
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 91¢$437
  • 9 hours agoBought no at 89¢$45
  • 9 hours agoBought no at 89¢$15
  • 12 hours agoBought no at 89¢$29
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 89¢$178
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 89¢$178
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 88¢$3
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 88¢$176
  • 21 hours agoBought no at 85¢$170
How this market is decidedShow

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 35 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.