0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
The market resolves based on whether zero ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any date by the specified deadlines.
Polymarket$202 traded 24hEnds Sep 29, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 27% | — | 29¢ | |
| September 30 | 14% | — | 16¢ |
October 31
27%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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