Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

The market resolves based on the average number of ships transiting the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at the end of September.

Polymarket$1.2K traded 24hEnds Sep 30, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
<25	70%	−4¢	70.5¢
25-29	20%	—	20¢
35-39	4%	—	5.7¢
30-34	3%	—	5.1¢
40+	3%	—	4.5¢

70%

−4¢

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

Posts and calls about this event

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