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PolymarketPolymarket· Oil · Iran · Hormuz · Houthis

Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?

Chance

3%

Buy Yes

4.8¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98.6¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Sep 30, 11:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 50 minutes agoBought Yes at 4.2¢$0
  • 51 minutes agoBought Yes at 4.1¢$0
  • 51 minutes agoBought Yes at 4.1¢$0