Polymarket· Oil · Iran · Hormuz · Houthis

Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?

Chance

62%

Buy Yes

62.3¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

38.2¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 16 minutes ago. Ends Sep 30, 11:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?3.7¢
Can’t both happenWill there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?20¢
Can’t both happenWill there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?7.4¢
Can’t both happenWill there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?10.3¢

Latest trades

2 hours agoBought Yes at 63.6¢$3
2 hours agoBought Yes at 63.6¢$3
2 hours agoBought Yes at 63.7¢$3
3 hours agoSold Yes at 64.4¢$3
5 hours agoBought No at 41.2¢$3
6 hours agoSold Yes at 63.6¢$45
6 hours agoSold Yes at 64.8¢$3
6 hours agoSold Yes at 68¢$626
16 hours agoSold Yes at 69.8¢$181
18 hours agoSold Yes at 69.9¢$5