US Trade Deficit in 2026?

The market resolves based on the total trade deficit of the United States for the year 2026.

Polymarket$9 traded 24hEnds Feb 27, 2027

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
800–900B	34%	—	43¢
700–800B	26%	—	35¢
900B–1T	13%	—	19¢
600–700B	10%	—	14.9¢
500–600B	5%	—	7.5¢
1T–1.1T	4%	—	7.5¢
<500B	4%	—	4.9¢
1.1T+	3%	—	5.5¢

34%

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Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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