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PolymarketPolymarket· Economy · Trump · Tariffs · Trade War

Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

4.9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97.8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 15 minutes ago. Ends Feb 28, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share