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PolymarketPolymarket· Oil · Iran · Yemen · close

0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

5.6¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97.6¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 10 hours agoBought Yes at 5.8¢$5
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 6¢$2