What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
This market resolves based on the specific terms included in a potential deal between the United States and Iran in 2026.
Polymarket$105 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | 12% | — | 12¢ | |
| Dilution of Iran's Uranium | 8% | — | 9¢ | |
| Iran Reconstruction Funding | 14% | — | 14¢ | |
| Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | 14% | — | 14¢ | |
| ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | 9% | — | 10¢ | |
| Enriched Uranium Surrender | 5% | — | 5¢ |
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
12%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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