What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

This market resolves based on the value the S&P 500 index hits by the end of December.

Polymarket$172 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
↓ $4,500	5%	—	5.9¢
↓ $7,200	46%	—	53¢
↑ $8,200	26%	—	29¢
↓ $6,200	14%	—	15.5¢
↓ $6,000	10%	—	11¢
↑ $10,000	3%	—	4.8¢
↓ $7,400	73%	—	96¢
↑ $8,000	50%	—	80¢
↓ $7,000	31%	—	34¢
↑ $9,000	18%	—	35.9¢
↑ $8,600	11%	—	12¢
↓ $5,800	7%	—	8¢
↓ $5,200	6%	—	7¢
↑ $9,300	4%	—	3.9¢

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Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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