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Best AI at the end of 2026?ClaudeTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202670%+1¢Kalshi69.8¢$44.7K
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?Before 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Aug 1, 20265%0¢Kalshi5.5¢$29.5K
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?1520Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 2026>99%——$24.5K
Best AI this weekClaudeTech & ScienceEnds Sep 21, 202697%0¢Kalshi98¢$18.5K
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202670%—Polymarket71¢$18.2K
Google market share this weekAbove 20.4%Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 20268%−63¢Kalshi9¢$17.1K
DeepSeek market share this weekAbove 26.3%Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 202625%−2¢Kalshi25¢$14.6K
Tencent market share this weekAbove 5.6%Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 202611%−5¢Kalshi12¢$14.4K
Best AI in Sep 2026?ClaudeTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202695%−1¢Kalshi95¢$13.6K
OpenAI market share this weekAbove 20.8%Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 20268%−15¢Kalshi8¢$12.6K
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?Above 9Tech & ScienceEnds Oct 1, 20268%−12¢Kalshi9¢$12.3K
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14Chopsticks catch Starship?Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 19, 20264%0¢Polymarket3.9¢$10.8K
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?AlibabaTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202686%−2¢Polymarket89¢$9.8K
OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 14–20Above 146T tokensTech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 20262%−19¢Kalshi2¢$9.2K
Next Claude Opus released by...?September 17Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 17, 20264%−89¢Polymarket5.7¢$8.7K
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202676%+2¢Polymarket76¢$8.6K
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?September 30, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202618%+3¢Polymarket18¢$7K
Anthropic market share this weekAbove 2.25%Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 202690%+3¢Kalshi92¢$6.2K
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?Dolly PartonTech & ScienceEnds Dec 30, 202643%−4¢Polymarket43¢$5.5K
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?Before 2028Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202640%−19¢Kalshi41.6¢$5.2K
Which company has the best AI model end of September?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202696%0¢Polymarket96.4¢$5.2K
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?↑ 1520Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 2026>99%——$4.9K
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?Lindsay ClancyTech & ScienceEnds Dec 30, 202619%−5¢Polymarket19¢$4K
Qwen market share this weekAbove 4.95%Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 202699%——$3.6K
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?0Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202657%—Polymarket58¢$3.4K
Which company has the best AI model end of October?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202689%—Polymarket89¢$3.3K
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 20263%−12¢Polymarket3¢$3.3K
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?October 31Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202698%+4¢Polymarket99¢$3.1K
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?September 30, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 20262%0¢Polymarket2.5¢$3.1K
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?December 31, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 20264%−1¢Polymarket3.8¢$3K
When will Anthropic release Mythos?Before Jan 1, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Jul 31, 20267%0¢Kalshi7¢$2.9K
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)GoogleTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202673%—Polymarket76¢$2.8K
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 30, 202618%−2¢Polymarket18¢$2.7K
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?GoogleTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202632%—Polymarket33¢$2.5K
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21stAlibabaTech & ScienceEnds Sep 28, 202689%—Kalshi91¢$2.5K
Best AI model on September 21?claude-fable-5.1-maxTech & ScienceEnds Sep 21, 202691%+14¢Polymarket91¢$2.5K
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 30, 20263%−2¢Polymarket3.9¢$2.4K
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?1470+Tech & ScienceEnds Jun 30, 202713%—Polymarket14¢$2.2K
AI capability growth this year?At least 1520 scoreTech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202755%−6¢Kalshi56¢$2K
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?1500+Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202666%—Polymarket66¢$2K
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?OpenAITech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202696%—Polymarket97.5¢$1.9K
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?No release by September 30Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 16, 202683%−1¢Polymarket83¢$1.8K
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?Dolly PartonTech & ScienceEnds Dec 30, 202653%—Polymarket54.8¢$1.7K
Gemini 4.0 released by...?September 30Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 20267%−6¢Polymarket8¢$1.7K
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?OpenAITech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202673%—Polymarket73.4¢$1.6K
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?Hadwiger-Nelson ProblemTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202620%—Polymarket21¢$1.5K
Measles cases in 2026?Above 8000Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202619%+1¢Kalshi20¢$1.5K
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?50%+Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202645%0¢Polymarket45¢$1.4K
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?MoonshotTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202642%—Polymarket44¢$1.4K
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?$6.50-$7.00Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202635%—Polymarket35¢$1.4K
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