
AI capability growth this year?
The market resolves based on the highest AI capability score achieved this year.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1520 score | 55% | −6¢ | 56¢ | |
| At least 1550 score | 15% | — | 16¢ | |
| At least 1530 score | 20% | — | 24¢ | |
| At least 1540 score | 20% | — | 23¢ | |
| At least 1600 score | 6% | — | 8¢ | |
| At least 1700 score | 3% | — | 5¢ | |
| At least 1650 score | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| At least 1750 score | 2% | — | 2¢ |
At least 1520 score
55%
−6¢Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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