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AI capability growth this year?

The market resolves based on the highest AI capability score achieved this year.

KalshiKalshi$2K traded 24hEnds Jan 1, 2027

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hKalshiKalshi
At least 1520 score55%−6¢56¢
At least 1550 score15%16¢
At least 1530 score20%24¢
At least 1540 score20%23¢
At least 1600 score6%
At least 1700 score3%
At least 1650 score2%
At least 1750 score2%

At least 1520 score

55%

−6¢

Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

Discussion

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