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artificial intelligence

40+ markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, $269.3K traded today.

MarketChance24hBest priceVolume 24h
Best AI at the end of 2026?ClaudeTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202670%+1¢Kalshi69.8¢$44.2K
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?1520Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 2026>99%——$24K
Best AI this weekClaudeTech & ScienceEnds Sep 21, 202697%0¢Kalshi98¢$18.5K
DeepSeek market share this weekAbove 26.3%Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 202626%+5¢Kalshi26¢$14.6K
Best AI in Sep 2026?ClaudeTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202695%−1¢Kalshi95¢$13.6K
OpenAI market share this weekAbove 20.8%Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 20268%−16¢Kalshi8¢$12.6K
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202672%—Polymarket72¢$9.9K
OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 14–20Above 146T tokensTech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 20262%−17¢Kalshi2¢$9.6K
Next Claude Opus released by...?September 17Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 17, 20264%−89¢Polymarket5.8¢$8.7K
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202676%+2¢Polymarket76¢$8.6K
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?September 30, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202618%+3¢Polymarket18¢$7K
Anthropic market share this weekAbove 2.25%Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 202690%+2¢Kalshi91¢$6.1K
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?AlibabaTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202687%−2¢Polymarket89¢$6.1K
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?$1.5T–$1.75TEconomicsEnds Jun 30, 202725%—Polymarket28.3¢$6K
When will any company achieve AGI?Before Apr 1, 2027EconomicsEnds Sep 30, 202631%−10¢Kalshi32¢$5.4K
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?Before 2028Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202640%−17¢Kalshi42.7¢$5.2K
Which company has the best AI model end of September?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202696%0¢Polymarket96.4¢$5.2K
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?↑ 1520Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 2026>99%——$4.9K
Qwen market share this weekAbove 4.95%Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 202699%——$4.2K
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202614%−3¢Polymarket15¢$3.9K
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?↑$1.25TEconomicsEnds Jan 1, 202746%+18¢Polymarket47¢$3.8K
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?↑$4.0TEconomicsEnds Jan 1, 20279%0¢Polymarket9¢$3.7K
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?0Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202657%—Polymarket58¢$3.4K
Which company has the best AI model end of October?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202689%—Polymarket89¢$3.3K
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 20263%−12¢Polymarket3¢$3.3K
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?October 31Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202698%+4¢Polymarket99¢$3K
When will Anthropic release Mythos?Before Jan 1, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Jul 31, 20267%0¢Kalshi7¢$2.9K
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)GoogleTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202673%0¢Polymarket75¢$2.8K
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 30, 202618%−2¢Polymarket18¢$2.7K
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?GoogleTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202632%—Polymarket32¢$2.5K
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21stAlibabaTech & ScienceEnds Sep 28, 202689%—Kalshi91¢$2.5K
Best AI model on September 21?claude-fable-5.1-maxTech & ScienceEnds Sep 21, 202691%+14¢Polymarket91¢$2.5K
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?1470+Tech & ScienceEnds Jun 30, 202713%—Polymarket14¢$2.2K
AI capability growth this year?At least 1520 scoreTech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202755%−6¢Kalshi57¢$2K
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?1500+Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202666%—Polymarket67¢$2K
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?OpenAITech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202696%—Polymarket97.5¢$1.9K
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?No release by September 30Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 16, 202683%−1¢Polymarket83¢$1.8K
Gemini 4.0 released by...?September 30Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 20267%−6¢Polymarket7¢$1.7K
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?OpenAITech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202672%—Polymarket73.4¢$1.6K
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?Hadwiger-Nelson ProblemTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202620%—Polymarket21¢$1.5K