When will any company achieve AGI?

The market resolves based on the date when any company achieves artificial general intelligence.

Kalshi$5.5K traded 24hEnds Sep 30, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
Before Apr 1, 2027	30%	−11¢	31¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	45%	−7¢	48¢
Before Oct 1, 2026	3%	—	4¢
Before Oct 1, 2027	53%	—	55¢
Before Apr 1, 2028	79%	—	82¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	22%	—	23¢
Before Jan 1, 2030	89%	—	92¢
Before Oct 1, 2028	81%	—	84¢
Before Jan 1, 2029	86%	—	90¢
Before Jan 1, 2031	89%	—	92¢
Before Jul 1, 2028	79%	—	82¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	73%	—	75¢

30%

−11¢

Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

Posts and calls about this event

Connecting…

Loading…