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KalshiKalshi· Companies

Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2028?

Chance

81%

Buy Yes

84¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

22¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 4 hours agoBought no at 22¢$0
  • 12 hours agoBought no at 21¢$1
  • 13 hours agoBought no at 19¢$0
  • 13 hours agoBought no at 18¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify. For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.