Skip to content
Back to event

KalshiKalshi· Companies

Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2030?

Chance

89%

Buy Yes

92¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

14¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 86¢$5
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 75¢$1
  • 8 hours agoBought no at 18¢$0
  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 78¢$2
  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 79¢$0
  • 10 hours agoBought no at 18¢$0
  • 11 hours agoSold yes at 78¢$2
  • 12 hours agoSold yes at 79¢$0
  • 12 hours agoSold yes at 79¢$2
  • 12 hours agoSold yes at 79¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify. For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.