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KalshiKalshi· Companies

Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2027?

Chance

53%

Buy Yes

55¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

49¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 1 minute ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 56¢$1
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 46¢$92
  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 64¢$0
  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 62¢$1
  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 61¢$2
  • 10 hours agoSold yes at 56¢$1
  • 10 hours agoSold yes at 55¢$1
  • 14 hours agoBought no at 44¢$12
  • 14 hours agoBought no at 44¢$195
  • 14 hours agoBought no at 52¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify. For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.