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KalshiKalshi· Companies

Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Apr 1, 2027?

Chance

30%

Buy Yes

31¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

71¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Apr 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 32¢$2
  • 14 hours agoBought no at 65¢$18
  • 14 hours agoBought no at 66¢$132
  • 14 hours agoBought no at 66¢$4
  • 14 hours agoBought no at 64¢$2
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 67¢$670
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 76¢$304
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 84¢$158
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 82¢$451
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 64¢$142
How this market is decidedShow

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify. For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.