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When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

The market resolves based on the year OpenAI officially achieves Artificial General Intelligence.

KalshiKalshi$1.8K traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hKalshiKalshi
Before 203064%65.6¢
Before 202842%42.9¢
Before 202714%15.7¢

Before 2030

64%

Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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